Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 16:00 •
Estádio Nacional de OMBAKA
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.18)
1.28 (league 0.78)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.6% | 29.4% | 51.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.8%
0 - 0
14.8%
0 - 2
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Sagrada Esperança | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Wiliete | 0 | 14.8% | 18.8% | 12.0% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Wiliete | Sagrada Esperança |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 58% | 33% |
| Attack | 63% | 63% |
| Defense | 38% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 5 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 5 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Wiliete | Sagrada Esperança | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Wiliete: WLDW • Sagrada Esperança: DDDD
League goals
| Metric | Wiliete | Sagrada Esperança | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Wiliete | Sagrada Esperança | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 25% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Wiliete | Sagrada Esperança | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Wiliete | Sagrada Esperança |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Wiliete | Sagrada Esperança |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-1 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Wiliete | Sagrada Esperança |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 40.5% | 59.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Sagrada Esperança
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Wiliete = 0.64 (league 1.18), Sagrada Esperança = 1.28 (league 0.78)
| Sagrada Esperança | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Wiliete | 0 | 14.8% | 18.8% | 12.0% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.6% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 51.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1