Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 15:00 •
Estádio Nacional de OMBAKA
Expected Goals
2.39 (league 1.21)
0.93 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2% | 17.4% | 12.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| 1º de Maio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Wiliete | 0 | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Wiliete | 1º de Maio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Attack | 100% | 44% |
| Defense | 56% | 11% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Wiliete | 1º de Maio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| Wins | 57% | 78% | 69% | 44% | 14% | 31% |
| Draws | 14% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 14% | 13% |
| Loses | 29% | 11% | 19% | 44% | 71% | 56% |
Form: Wiliete: WLDWWLWDWWWLWWWW • 1º de Maio: LLLWLDDWWWLLLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Wiliete | 1º de Maio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 17 | 29 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 9 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Wiliete | 1º de Maio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 75% | 50% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 31% | 19% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 6% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Wiliete | 1º de Maio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Wiliete | 1º de Maio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Wiliete | 1º de Maio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-5 | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 2-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Wiliete | 1º de Maio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 73.8% | 26.2% |
Advice: Winner : Wiliete
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Wiliete = 2.39 (league 1.21), 1º de Maio = 0.93 (league 0.84)
| 1º de Maio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Wiliete | 0 | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.2% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 12.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1