Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 14:00 •
Estádio Quintalão
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.22)
0.58 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.7% | 28.8% | 16.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.8%
0 - 0
14.9%
2 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Académica do Lobito | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sagrada Esperança | 0 | 14.9% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.8% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.1% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sagrada Esperança | Académica do Lobito |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 78% | 33% |
| Defense | 44% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sagrada Esperança | Académica do Lobito | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Wins | 44% | 25% | 35% | 29% | 25% | 27% |
| Draws | 44% | 25% | 35% | 57% | 25% | 40% |
| Loses | 11% | 50% | 29% | 14% | 50% | 33% |
Form: Sagrada Esperança: DDDDLDWWLDLWWWLWL • Académica do Lobito: DDDDWLLLDWWWDLL
League goals
| Metric | Sagrada Esperança | Académica do Lobito | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 8 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 11 | 12 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sagrada Esperança | Académica do Lobito | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 76% | 60% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 29% | 0% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 24% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sagrada Esperança | Académica do Lobito | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sagrada Esperança | Académica do Lobito |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sagrada Esperança | Académica do Lobito |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-3 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sagrada Esperança | Académica do Lobito |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 51.8% | 48.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Sagrada Esperança or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sagrada Esperança = 1.32 (league 1.22), Académica do Lobito = 0.58 (league 0.83)
| Académica do Lobito | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sagrada Esperança | 0 | 14.9% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.8% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.1% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.7% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 16.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1