Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 •
Estádio Nacional de OMBAKA
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.14)
1.72 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.4% | 22.8% | 39.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
8.4%
2 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Interclube | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Wiliete | 0 | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Wiliete carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 99 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Wiliete +0.4, Interclube +8.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Wiliete
vs
Interclube
Elo gapWiliete +99
Home / draw / away52% / 19% / 29%
Expected home share64%
Combined Elo3126.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3126.7
Elo home share
64%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Wiliete | Interclube |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1595.2 | 1531.5 |
| Form Elo | 1611.6 | 1540.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1528.4 | 1504.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1538.7 | 1441.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1591.5 | 1632.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +0.4 | +8.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Wiliete last-5 Elo change: +0.4; Interclube last-5 Elo change: +8.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Wiliete | Interclube |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 73% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Wiliete | Interclube | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 64% | 58% | 61% | 42% | 33% | 38% |
| Draws | 9% | 33% | 22% | 42% | 33% | 38% |
| Loses | 27% | 8% | 17% | 17% | 33% | 25% |
WilieteWLDWWLWDWWWLWWWWWDWDWLD
InterclubeLDDDWDLLWLLLWWWWDDDWWWDD
League goals
| Metric | Wiliete | Interclube | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 21 | 40 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 12 | 12 | 24 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Wiliete | Interclube | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 70% | 75% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 30% | 29% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 4% | 13% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Wiliete | Interclube | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Wiliete | Interclube |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Wiliete | Interclube |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-5 | 4-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Wiliete | Interclube |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 49.8% | 50.2% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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