Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 15:00 •
Estádio Municipal dos Coqueiros
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.21)
0.54 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.4% | 33.2% | 18.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.4%
0 - 0
20.0%
2 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Académica do Lobito | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guelson FC | 0 | 20.0% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.4% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.5% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guelson FC | Académica do Lobito |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 27% |
| Attack | 28% | 17% |
| Defense | 61% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guelson FC | Académica do Lobito | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 11% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 11% | 60% | 50% | 56% |
| Loses | 75% | 80% | 78% | 20% | 50% | 33% |
Form: Guelson FC: LLLLWLLLD • Académica do Lobito: DDDDWLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Guelson FC | Académica do Lobito | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guelson FC | Académica do Lobito | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 78% | 56% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | 0% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guelson FC | Académica do Lobito | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guelson FC | Académica do Lobito |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guelson FC | Académica do Lobito |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guelson FC | Académica do Lobito |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 56.5% | 43.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Guelson FC or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Guelson FC = 1.07 (league 1.21), Académica do Lobito = 0.54 (league 0.84)
| Académica do Lobito | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guelson FC | 0 | 20.0% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.4% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.5% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.4% · Draw 33.2% · Away win 18.3%
vtt 2 , vtd1