Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 15:00 •
Estádio Municipal dos Coqueiros
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.22)
1.34 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.2% | 25.1% | 33.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
8.9%
2 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
| 1º de Maio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guelson FC | 0 | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guelson FC | 1º de Maio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 73% |
| Attack | 44% | 67% |
| Defense | 11% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guelson FC | 1º de Maio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 20% | 0% | 9% | 60% | 20% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 17% | 9% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Loses | 80% | 83% | 82% | 20% | 60% | 40% |
Form: Guelson FC: LLLLWLLLDLL • 1º de Maio: LLLWLDDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Guelson FC | 1º de Maio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 7 | 12 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guelson FC | 1º de Maio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 82% | 60% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 64% | 10% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 27% | 10% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guelson FC | 1º de Maio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guelson FC | 1º de Maio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guelson FC | 1º de Maio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 1-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guelson FC | 1º de Maio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 8% | 92% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 31.8% | 68.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or 1º de Maio
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Guelson FC = 1.48 (league 1.22), 1º de Maio = 1.34 (league 0.84)
| 1º de Maio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guelson FC | 0 | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.2% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 33.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1