Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 14:00 •
Estádio Quintalão
Expected Goals
2.81 (league 1.21)
1.34 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.5% | 16.1% | 15.6% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.3%
3 - 1
7.8%
2 - 0
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Guelson FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sagrada Esperança | 0 | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sagrada Esperança | Guelson FC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 33% | 17% |
| Defense | 61% | 72% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sagrada Esperança | Guelson FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 29% | 29% | 29% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 57% | 29% | 43% | 0% | 17% | 8% |
| Loses | 14% | 43% | 29% | 67% | 83% | 75% |
Form: Sagrada Esperança: DDDDLDWWLDLWWL • Guelson FC: LLLLWLLLDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Sagrada Esperança | Guelson FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 7 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 10 | 10 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sagrada Esperança | Guelson FC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 79% | 67% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 29% | 25% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 29% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sagrada Esperança | Guelson FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sagrada Esperança | Guelson FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sagrada Esperança | Guelson FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-3 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-1 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sagrada Esperança | Guelson FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 61.0% | 39.0% |
Advice: Winner : Sagrada Esperança
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sagrada Esperança = 2.81 (league 1.21), Guelson FC = 1.34 (league 0.84)
| Guelson FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sagrada Esperança | 0 | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.5% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 15.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1