Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 14:30 •
Estádio Municipal do Dande
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.21)
0.58 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.2% | 35.8% | 22.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
22.2%
1 - 0
20.6%
0 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| São Salvador | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Redonda FC | 0 | 22.2% | 12.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.6% | 11.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Redonda FC | São Salvador |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 33% |
| Attack | 22% | 33% |
| Defense | 0% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Redonda FC | São Salvador | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Wins | 38% | 14% | 27% | 43% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 0% | 29% | 13% | 29% | 13% | 20% |
| Loses | 63% | 57% | 60% | 29% | 88% | 60% |
Form: Redonda FC: DLDLLWWWLLWLLLL • São Salvador: DLWLWLLLLLLWLDD
League goals
| Metric | Redonda FC | São Salvador | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 13 | 8 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Redonda FC | São Salvador | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 73% | 40% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 33% | 20% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 27% | 7% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Redonda FC | São Salvador | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Redonda FC | São Salvador |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Redonda FC | São Salvador |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Redonda FC | São Salvador |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 43.8% | 56.4% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or São Salvador and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Redonda FC = 0.93 (league 1.21), São Salvador = 0.58 (league 0.83)
| São Salvador | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Redonda FC | 0 | 22.2% | 12.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.6% | 11.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.2% · Draw 35.8% · Away win 22.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1