Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 14:00 •
Estádio Mário Álvaro Pacheco
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.22)
0.53 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.6% | 31.5% | 16.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.4%
0 - 0
18.3%
2 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Redonda FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Recreativo do Libolo | 0 | 18.3% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.4% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.5% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Recreativo do Libolo | Redonda FC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 20% |
| Attack | 25% | 17% |
| Defense | 25% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Recreativo do Libolo | Redonda FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 57% | 25% | 40% | 43% | 14% | 29% |
| Draws | 14% | 13% | 13% | 0% | 29% | 14% |
| Loses | 29% | 63% | 47% | 57% | 57% | 57% |
Form: Recreativo do Libolo: WWDWWLWLWLLLDLL • Redonda FC: DLDLLWWWLLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Recreativo do Libolo | Redonda FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 8 | 14 | 22 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Recreativo do Libolo | Redonda FC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 73% | 43% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 33% | 21% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Recreativo do Libolo | Redonda FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Recreativo do Libolo | Redonda FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Recreativo do Libolo | Redonda FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Recreativo do Libolo | Redonda FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 51.0% | 49.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Recreativo do Libolo or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Recreativo do Libolo = 1.17 (league 1.22), Redonda FC = 0.53 (league 0.83)
| Redonda FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Recreativo do Libolo | 0 | 18.3% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.4% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.5% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.6% · Draw 31.5% · Away win 16.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1