Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 13:55 •
Hamdan Bin Rashid Stadium
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.52)
0.76 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.7% | 38.4% | 34.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
25.0%
0 - 1
19.0%
1 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Al Urooba | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hatta SC | 0 | 25.0% | 19.0% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.6% | 11.9% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Hatta SC carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 66 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Hatta SC +27.5, Al Urooba +23.0.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Hatta SC
vs
Al Urooba
Elo gapHatta SC +66
Home / draw / away46% / 22% / 32%
Expected home share59%
Combined Elo3128.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3128.1
Elo home share
59%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Hatta SC | Al Urooba |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1579.6 | 1548.5 |
| Form Elo | 1602.1 | 1570.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1547.7 | 1505.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1618.7 | 1498.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1563.6 | 1550.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +27.5 | +23.0 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Hatta SC last-5 Elo change: +27.5; Al Urooba last-5 Elo change: +23.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hatta SC | Al Urooba |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 80% |
| Attack | 61% | 50% |
| Defense | 78% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hatta SC | Al Urooba | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 64% | 55% | 59% | 64% | 55% | 59% |
| Draws | 18% | 18% | 18% | 27% | 9% | 18% |
| Loses | 18% | 27% | 23% | 9% | 36% | 23% |
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Al UroobaLDLDDWWDWWWLWWLWWWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Hatta SC | Al Urooba | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 20 | 41 | 19 | 12 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 11 | 11 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hatta SC | Al Urooba | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 68% | 82% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 23% | 45% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 5% | 9% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 5% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hatta SC | Al Urooba | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hatta SC | Al Urooba |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hatta SC | Al Urooba |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-5 | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hatta SC | Al Urooba |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 48.5% | 51.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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