First League — Russia
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.22) 4.24 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.3% 6.9% 63.5%
best score tips
1 - 4
7.1%
0 - 4
6.8%
1 - 3
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Rodina Moskva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chayka 0 0.5% 2.2% 4.6% 6.4% 6.8% 5.8%
1 0.5% 2.3% 4.8% 6.7% 7.1% 6.0%
2 0.3% 1.2% 2.5% 3.5% 3.7% 3.2%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.3% 1.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChaykaRodina Moskva
Played55
Form7%80%
Attack43%100%
Defense0%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 35 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chayka Rodina Moskva
HATHAT
Played57127512
Wins0%14%8%57%20%42%
Draws20%43%33%29%40%33%
Loses80%43%58%14%40%25%

Form: Chayka: WDDDLLLLLLLD • Rodina Moskva: DLLDDDWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Chayka Rodina Moskva
HATHAT
GF total45912719
GF avg0.80.70.81.71.41.6
GA total1610265813
GA avg3.21.42.20.71.61.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChaykaRodina Moskva
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%83%58%
1.517%50%42%25%
2.58%42%17%17%
3.50%33%8%8%
4.50%8%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChaykaRodina Moskva
HATHAT
Clean sheets033415
Failed to score246022

Penalties

MetricChaykaRodina Moskva
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricChaykaRodina Moskva
Wins14
Draws33
Losses72

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-33-01-5
Biggest losses0-64-01-34-0
Goals For2335
Goals Against6434

Model comparison

MetricChaykaRodina Moskva
Form8%92%
Att21%79%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total28.0%72.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Rodina Moskva and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.28 @ 1xBet
Draw3.95 @ Pinnacle
Away1.58 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.72 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.29 @ Pinnacle
No1.64 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chayka = 1.05 (league 1.22), Rodina Moskva = 4.24 (league 1.06)

Rodina Moskva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chayka 0 0.5% 2.2% 4.6% 6.4% 6.8% 5.8%
1 0.5% 2.3% 4.8% 6.7% 7.1% 6.0%
2 0.3% 1.2% 2.5% 3.5% 3.7% 3.2%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.3% 1.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.3% · Draw 6.9% · Away win 63.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1