First League — Russia
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:00 • Stadion Neftekhimik
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.23) 1.85 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.3% 20.3% 70.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.4%
0 - 2
17.1%
0 - 3
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Rotor Volgograd
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Neftekhimik 0 9.9% 18.4% 17.1% 10.5% 4.9% 1.8%
1 4.5% 8.4% 7.8% 4.8% 2.2% 0.8%
2 1.0% 1.9% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFK NeftekhimikRotor Volgograd
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FK Neftekhimik Rotor Volgograd
HATHAT
Played75126612
Wins29%40%33%67%33%50%
Draws43%40%42%17%33%25%
Loses29%20%25%17%33%25%

Form: FK Neftekhimik: DDDWLLDLDWWW • Rotor Volgograd: WLDWDWLWWWDL

League goals

Metric FK Neftekhimik Rotor Volgograd
HATHAT
GF total58139918
GF avg0.71.61.11.51.51.5
GA total9413257
GA avg1.30.81.10.30.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFK NeftekhimikRotor Volgograd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%58%67%42%
1.517%17%33%17%
2.58%17%25%0%
3.58%8%8%0%
4.50%8%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFK NeftekhimikRotor Volgograd
HATHAT
Clean sheets415527
Failed to score213134

Penalties

MetricFK NeftekhimikRotor Volgograd
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricFK NeftekhimikRotor Volgograd
Wins13
Draws31
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-43-00-6
Biggest losses1-51-01-22-0
Goals For1436
Goals Against5122

Model comparison

MetricFK NeftekhimikRotor Volgograd
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total33.7%66.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rotor Volgograd

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.41 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.17 @ Pinnacle
Away2.37 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.45 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.35 @ 188Bet
No1.61 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FK Neftekhimik = 0.46 (league 1.23), Rotor Volgograd = 1.85 (league 1.05)

Rotor Volgograd
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Neftekhimik 0 9.9% 18.4% 17.1% 10.5% 4.9% 1.8%
1 4.5% 8.4% 7.8% 4.8% 2.2% 0.8%
2 1.0% 1.9% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.3% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 70.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1