First League — Russia
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.23) 1.06 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.9% 29.8% 35.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Chernomorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torpedo Moskva 0 12.0% 12.7% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.7% 13.5% 7.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 6.7% 7.1% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTorpedo MoskvaChernomorets
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack80%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Torpedo Moskva Chernomorets
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins20%14%17%50%0%25%
Draws20%29%25%0%50%25%
Loses60%57%58%50%50%50%

Form: Torpedo Moskva: LDLLWLLDDLLW • Chernomorets: DLLDLLLDWWLW

League goals

Metric Torpedo Moskva Chernomorets
HATHAT
GF total5279514
GF avg1.00.30.61.50.81.2
GA total79168816
GA avg1.41.31.31.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTorpedo MoskvaChernomorets
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.542%67%67%92%
1.517%33%25%33%
2.50%33%17%8%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTorpedo MoskvaChernomorets
HATHAT
Clean sheets224101
Failed to score257224

Penalties

MetricTorpedo MoskvaChernomorets
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricTorpedo MoskvaChernomorets
Wins12
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-14-1—
Biggest losses2-33-00-23-2
Goals For2142
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricTorpedo MoskvaChernomorets
Form33%67%
Att31%69%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total42.8%57.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chernomorets

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ 1xBet
Draw3.28 @ 1xBet
Away3.85 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ 188Bet
No1.72 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Torpedo Moskva = 1.06 (league 1.23), Chernomorets = 1.06 (league 1.05)

Chernomorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torpedo Moskva 0 12.0% 12.7% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.7% 13.5% 7.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 6.7% 7.1% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.9% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 35.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1