First League — Russia
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 05:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 1.23) 0.38 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.5% 52.8% 22.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
45.5%
1 - 0
18.5%
0 - 1
17.3%
Score & goals probability table
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ska-khabarovsk 0 45.5% 17.3% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.5% 7.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSka-khabarovskShinnik Yaroslavl
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack100%80%
Defense0%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.20 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

45%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ska-khabarovsk Shinnik Yaroslavl
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins33%33%33%50%17%33%
Draws50%17%33%17%67%42%
Loses17%50%33%33%17%25%

Form: Ska-khabarovsk: DWWDLLDLLDWW • Shinnik Yaroslavl: LDLLWDWDWDDW

League goals

Metric Ska-khabarovsk Shinnik Yaroslavl
HATHAT
GF total6612639
GF avg1.01.01.01.00.50.8
GA total5813437
GA avg0.81.31.10.70.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSka-khabarovskShinnik Yaroslavl
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%50%50%
1.517%17%25%8%
2.50%8%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSka-khabarovskShinnik Yaroslavl
HATHAT
Clean sheets202336
Failed to score022246

Penalties

MetricSka-khabarovskShinnik Yaroslavl
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricSka-khabarovskShinnik Yaroslavl
Wins21
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-22-01-2
Biggest losses1-23-10-21-0
Goals For1222
Goals Against2321

Model comparison

MetricSka-khabarovskShinnik Yaroslavl
Form44%56%
Att56%44%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h62%38%
Goals67%33%
Total56.0%44.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Ska-khabarovsk or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ 1xBet
Away4.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ Pinnacle
No1.69 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ska-khabarovsk = 0.41 (league 1.23), Shinnik Yaroslavl = 0.38 (league 1.05)

Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ska-khabarovsk 0 45.5% 17.3% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.5% 7.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.5% · Draw 52.8% · Away win 22.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1