First League — Russia
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 10:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 1.23) 0.80 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.4% 40.5% 42.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.0%
0 - 1
23.9%
1 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Arsenal Tula
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Sokol Saratov 0 30.0% 23.9% 9.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.2% 9.7% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 2.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFK Sokol SaratovArsenal Tula
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack25%75%
Defense25%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FK Sokol Saratov Arsenal Tula
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins17%0%8%17%33%25%
Draws67%17%42%67%17%42%
Loses17%83%50%17%50%33%

Form: FK Sokol Saratov: DDLDDLLLLDWL • Arsenal Tula: DDWDDWLWLLDL

League goals

Metric FK Sokol Saratov Arsenal Tula
HATHAT
GF total32510717
GF avg0.50.30.41.71.21.4
GA total49139615
GA avg0.71.51.11.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFK Sokol SaratovArsenal Tula
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.542%67%83%92%
1.50%33%42%33%
2.50%8%17%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFK Sokol SaratovArsenal Tula
HATHAT
Clean sheets314011
Failed to score347022

Penalties

MetricFK Sokol SaratovArsenal Tula
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFK Sokol SaratovArsenal Tula
Wins11
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—3-10-3
Biggest losses0-23-11-22-1
Goals For1133
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricFK Sokol SaratovArsenal Tula
Form50%50%
Att25%75%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h25%75%
Goals13%88%
Total33.7%66.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Arsenal Tula and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.67 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.13 @ Pinnacle
Away2.04 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.72 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.33 @ Pinnacle
No1.61 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FK Sokol Saratov = 0.41 (league 1.23), Arsenal Tula = 0.80 (league 1.05)

Arsenal Tula
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Sokol Saratov 0 30.0% 23.9% 9.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.2% 9.7% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 2.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.4% · Draw 40.5% · Away win 42.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1