First League — Russia
Mon, Oct 6 2025 • 16:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
5 - 1
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.23) 1.33 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.6% 28.0% 46.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.1%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
10.6%
Ural
0 1 2 3 4 5
KAMAZ 0 10.6% 14.1% 9.4% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.7% 12.9% 8.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 4.4% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.3% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKAMAZUral
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack27%55%
Defense55%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KAMAZ Ural
HATHAT
Played57127512
Wins40%43%42%57%60%58%
Draws40%29%33%29%20%25%
Loses20%29%25%14%20%17%

Form: KAMAZ: DWWLWWDWDLDL • Ural: WWWWLWWDDWDL

League goals

Metric KAMAZ Ural
HATHAT
GF total791613720
GF avg1.41.31.31.91.41.7
GA total58136410
GA avg1.01.11.10.90.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKAMAZUral
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%83%83%58%
1.542%17%50%25%
2.517%8%25%0%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKAMAZUral
HATHAT
Clean sheets112325
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricKAMAZUral
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricKAMAZUral
Wins24
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-34-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-01-21-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricKAMAZUral
Form45%55%
Att33%67%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h33%67%
Goals33%67%
Total40.0%60.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ural

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.00 @ Superbet
Draw3.28 @ 1xBet
Away2.12 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.64 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): KAMAZ = 0.91 (league 1.23), Ural = 1.33 (league 1.05)

Ural
0 1 2 3 4 5
KAMAZ 0 10.6% 14.1% 9.4% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.7% 12.9% 8.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 4.4% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.3% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.6% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 46.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1