Friendlies — World
Wed, Nov 19 2025 • 01:30 • Alamodome
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.51) 1.47 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.7% 25.8% 43.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Paraguay
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mexico 0 7.0% 10.2% 7.5% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.3% 12.2% 9.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.0% 7.3% 5.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.0% 2.9% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMexicoParaguay
Played53
Form27%11%
Attack30%30%
Defense30%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mexico Paraguay
HATHAT
Played707033
Wins14%—14%—0%0%
Draws57%—57%—33%33%
Loses29%—29%—67%67%

Form: Mexico: LWDDLDD • Paraguay: DLL

League goals

Metric Mexico Paraguay
HATHAT
GF total606033
GF avg0.90.00.90.01.01.0
GA total11011066
GA avg1.60.01.60.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMexicoParaguay
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%57%67%100%
1.529%43%33%100%
2.50%29%0%0%
3.50%29%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMexicoParaguay
HATHAT
Clean sheets303000
Failed to score303011

Penalties

MetricMexicoParaguay
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMexicoParaguay
Wins10
Draws21
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0———
Biggest losses0-4——2-0
Goals For2002
Goals Against4002

Model comparison

MetricMexicoParaguay
Form80%20%
Att50%50%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h67%33%
Goals60%40%
Total57.8%42.2%

Advice: Double chance : Mexico or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Superbet
Draw3.39 @ Pinnacle
Away4.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.37 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.68 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mexico = 1.20 (league 1.51), Paraguay = 1.47 (league 1.09)

Paraguay
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mexico 0 7.0% 10.2% 7.5% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.3% 12.2% 9.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.0% 7.3% 5.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.0% 2.9% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.7% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 43.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1