Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Centenario
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.31) 1.43 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.4% 26.9% 49.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.0%
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 2
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Atenas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarmiento Resistencia 0 9.8% 14.0% 10.0% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5%
1 8.7% 12.5% 9.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 3.9% 5.6% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSarmiento ResistenciaAtenas
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack50%14%
Defense43%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sarmiento Resistencia Atenas
HATHAT
Played121325121224
Wins42%31%36%42%33%38%
Draws33%23%28%33%25%29%
Loses25%46%36%25%42%33%

Form: Sarmiento Resistencia: WLLLWLDLDDDDLWWDWLWWLWDWL • Atenas: LLLLWLWLWDWLWWWWDDWDDDDL

League goals

Metric Sarmiento Resistencia Atenas
HATHAT
GF total151025101020
GF avg1.30.81.00.80.80.8
GA total15193461117
GA avg1.31.51.40.50.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSarmiento ResistenciaAtenas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%72%50%54%
1.532%40%21%13%
2.58%16%8%4%
3.50%4%4%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSarmiento ResistenciaAtenas
HATHAT
Clean sheets3477411
Failed to score37105712

Penalties

MetricSarmiento ResistenciaAtenas
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricSarmiento ResistenciaAtenas
Wins24
Draws44
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-34-11-3
Biggest losses1-35-01-23-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against3523

Model comparison

MetricSarmiento ResistenciaAtenas
Form64%36%
Att78%22%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Sarmiento Resistencia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.90 @ William Hill
Away3.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.75 @ Bet365
No1.55 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.40 @ 888Sport
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sarmiento Resistencia = 0.89 (league 1.31), Atenas = 1.43 (league 0.73)

Atenas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarmiento Resistencia 0 9.8% 14.0% 10.0% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5%
1 8.7% 12.5% 9.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 3.9% 5.6% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.4% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 49.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1