Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 19:30 • Miguel Morales
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.31) 0.55 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.1% 41.4% 25.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.4%
1 - 0
19.8%
0 - 1
16.2%
Score & goals probability table
Independiente De Chivilcoy
0 1 2 3 4 5
Douglas Haig 0 29.4% 16.2% 4.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.8% 10.9% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.6% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDouglas HaigIndependiente De Chivilcoy
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack20%50%
Defense30%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

48%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Douglas Haig Independiente De Chivilcoy
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins31%23%27%38%15%27%
Draws31%38%35%46%38%42%
Loses38%38%38%15%46%31%

Form: Douglas Haig: DDWWDDWLWLWWDWDLDDLLLLLLDL • Independiente De Chivilcoy: LDDWWDWWLDLDLWDDWDDLDLLLWD

League goals

Metric Douglas Haig Independiente De Chivilcoy
HATHAT
GF total10112117724
GF avg0.80.80.81.30.50.9
GA total101323101424
GA avg0.81.00.90.81.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDouglas HaigIndependiente De Chivilcoy
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%58%62%50%
1.519%27%27%27%
2.58%4%4%15%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDouglas HaigIndependiente De Chivilcoy
HATHAT
Clean sheets65117613
Failed to score57123710

Penalties

MetricDouglas HaigIndependiente De Chivilcoy
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricDouglas HaigIndependiente De Chivilcoy
Wins22
Draws22
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-00-2
Biggest losses1-22-02-33-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricDouglas HaigIndependiente De Chivilcoy
Form20%80%
Att29%71%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Independiente De Chivilcoy and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Betano
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away5.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.60 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Douglas Haig = 0.67 (league 1.31), Independiente De Chivilcoy = 0.55 (league 0.73)

Independiente De Chivilcoy
0 1 2 3 4 5
Douglas Haig 0 29.4% 16.2% 4.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.8% 10.9% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.6% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.1% · Draw 41.4% · Away win 25.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1