Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio 9 de Julio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.31) 0.55 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.5% 36.3% 21.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.1%
1 - 0
21.1%
0 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Sarmiento Resistencia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atenas 0 23.1% 12.7% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.1% 11.6% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.7% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtenasSarmiento Resistencia
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack14%50%
Defense86%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atenas Sarmiento Resistencia
HATHAT
Played121325131326
Wins42%38%40%38%31%35%
Draws33%23%28%31%23%27%
Loses25%38%32%31%46%38%

Form: Atenas: LLLLWLWLWDWLWWWWDDWDDDDLW • Sarmiento Resistencia: WLLLWLDLDDDDLWWDWLWWLWDWLL

League goals

Metric Atenas Sarmiento Resistencia
HATHAT
GF total101121151025
GF avg0.80.80.81.20.81.0
GA total61117161935
GA avg0.50.80.71.21.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtenasSarmiento Resistencia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%52%58%73%
1.520%12%31%38%
2.58%4%8%15%
3.54%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtenasSarmiento Resistencia
HATHAT
Clean sheets7512347
Failed to score57124711

Penalties

MetricAtenasSarmiento Resistencia
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricAtenasSarmiento Resistencia
Wins42
Draws44
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-32-12-3
Biggest losses1-23-01-35-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against2335

Model comparison

MetricAtenasSarmiento Resistencia
Form46%54%
Att22%78%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total53.3%46.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Atenas or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ 10Bet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away5.70 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.75 @ Bet365
No1.45 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atenas = 0.92 (league 1.31), Sarmiento Resistencia = 0.55 (league 0.73)

Sarmiento Resistencia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atenas 0 23.1% 12.7% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.1% 11.6% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.7% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.5% · Draw 36.3% · Away win 21.2%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1