Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 19:30 • Raul Orlando Lungarzo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.31) 0.88 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.9% 32.0% 31.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.4%
1 - 0
15.2%
0 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Douglas Haig
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente De Chivilcoy 0 15.4% 13.5% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.2% 13.4% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.6% 6.7% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIndependiente De ChivilcoyDouglas Haig
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack43%43%
Defense43%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Independiente De Chivilcoy Douglas Haig
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins38%14%26%36%23%30%
Draws46%36%41%29%38%33%
Loses15%50%33%36%38%37%

Form: Independiente De Chivilcoy: LDDWWDWWLDLDLWDDWDDLDLLLWDL • Douglas Haig: DDWWDDWLWLWWDWDLDDLLLLLLDLW

League goals

Metric Independiente De Chivilcoy Douglas Haig
HATHAT
GF total17926141125
GF avg1.30.61.01.00.80.9
GA total101828121325
GA avg0.81.31.00.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIndependiente De ChivilcoyDouglas Haig
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%52%56%59%
1.530%30%22%30%
2.54%19%11%4%
3.50%4%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIndependiente De ChivilcoyDouglas Haig
HATHAT
Clean sheets76136511
Failed to score37105712

Penalties

MetricIndependiente De ChivilcoyDouglas Haig
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricIndependiente De ChivilcoyDouglas Haig
Wins22
Draws22
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-21-3
Biggest losses2-33-01-22-0
Goals For3243
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricIndependiente De ChivilcoyDouglas Haig
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h38%62%
Goals47%53%
Total48.2%51.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Douglas Haig

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.11 @ 1xBet
Draw3.36 @ Marathonbet
Away3.70 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.47 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.60 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Independiente De Chivilcoy = 0.99 (league 1.31), Douglas Haig = 0.88 (league 0.73)

Douglas Haig
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente De Chivilcoy 0 15.4% 13.5% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.2% 13.4% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.6% 6.7% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.9% · Draw 32.0% · Away win 31.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1