Thu, Oct 30 2025 • 22:00 •
Estadio IV Centenario
Expected Goals
2.50 (league 1.94)
2.83 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.6% | 17.4% | 40.3% |
best score tips
2 - 2
6.1%
2 - 3
5.7%
3 - 2
5.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Independiente Petrolero | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Tomayapo | 0 | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Tomayapo | Independiente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 36% | 32% |
| Defense | 32% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
78%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Tomayapo | Independiente Petrolero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 33% | 17% | 25% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 33% | 83% | 58% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
Form: Real Tomayapo: LWLDDLLLWLWL • Independiente Petrolero: LLLLWLWWWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Real Tomayapo | Independiente Petrolero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 16 | 20 | 36 | 8 | 13 | 21 |
| GA avg | 2.7 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Tomayapo | Independiente Petrolero | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 92% | 58% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 75% | 25% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 42% | 17% | 42% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Tomayapo | Independiente Petrolero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Tomayapo | Independiente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Tomayapo | Independiente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-7 | 6-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Tomayapo | Independiente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 43.8% | 56.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Independiente Petrolero and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Real Tomayapo = 2.50 (league 1.94), Independiente Petrolero = 2.83 (league 1.24)
| Independiente Petrolero | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Tomayapo | 0 | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.6% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 40.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1