Wed, Oct 15 2025 • 16:45 • Groupama Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.84) 1.24 (league 1.61)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.1% 28.1% 39.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
St. Pölten W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lyon W 0 9.8% 12.1% 7.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.6% 13.2% 8.2% 3.4% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.8% 7.1% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.1% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLyon WSt. Pölten W
Played13
Form100%67%
Attack10%24%
Defense95%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 25 | 1.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 18 | 2.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lyon W St. Pölten W
HATHAT
Played011213
Wins100%100%50%100%67%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%50%0%33%

Form: Lyon W: W • St. Pölten W: WWL

League goals

Metric Lyon W St. Pölten W
HATHAT
GF total022325
GF avg0.02.02.01.52.01.7
GA total011718
GA avg0.01.01.03.51.02.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLyon WSt. Pölten W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%67%100%
1.5100%0%67%33%
2.50%0%33%33%
3.50%0%0%33%
4.50%0%0%33%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLyon WSt. Pölten W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricLyon WSt. Pölten W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLyon WSt. Pölten W
Wins12
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-23-11-2
Biggest losses0-6
Goals For0232
Goals Against0161

Model comparison

MetricLyon WSt. Pölten W
Form33%67%
Att29%71%
Def89%11%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total50.3%49.7%

Advice: Double chance : Lyon W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.02 @ William Hill
Draw23.00 @ Bet365
Away67.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.03 @ Bet365
Under 2.519.00 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.30 @ Betfair
No1.65 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lyon W = 1.09 (league 1.84), St. Pölten W = 1.24 (league 1.61)

St. Pölten W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lyon W 0 9.8% 12.1% 7.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.6% 13.2% 8.2% 3.4% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.8% 7.1% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.1% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.1% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 39.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1