Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.86) 1.13 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.9% 29.1% 36.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester United W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid W 0 11.0% 12.5% 7.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.8% 13.4% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.3% 7.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico Madrid WManchester United W
Played35
Form78%80%
Attack53%53%
Defense88%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 39 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.71 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Madrid W Manchester United W
HATHAT
Played123415
Wins100%50%67%100%0%80%
Draws0%50%33%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%20%

Form: Atletico Madrid W: DWW • Manchester United W: WWLWW

League goals

Metric Atletico Madrid W Manchester United W
HATHAT
GF total279909
GF avg2.03.53.02.30.01.8
GA total112011
GA avg1.00.50.70.01.00.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico Madrid WManchester United W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%80%20%
1.567%0%40%0%
2.533%0%40%0%
3.533%0%20%0%
4.533%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico Madrid WManchester United W
HATHAT
Clean sheets011404
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricAtletico Madrid WManchester United W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAtletico Madrid WManchester United W
Wins02
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-64-0
Biggest losses1-0
Goals For2640
Goals Against1101

Model comparison

MetricAtletico Madrid WManchester United W
Form37%63%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total40.0%60.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Manchester United W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ 10Bet
Draw3.70 @ Pinnacle
Away2.32 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.41 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Atletico Madrid W = 1.07 (league 1.86), Manchester United W = 1.13 (league 1.59)

Manchester United W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid W 0 11.0% 12.5% 7.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.8% 13.4% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.3% 7.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.9% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 36.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1