Wed, Nov 12 2025 • 20:00 • Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.84) 0.62 (league 1.61)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.5% 32.6% 20.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.7%
0 - 0
18.2%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Juventus W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid W 0 18.2% 11.3% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.7% 12.2% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.7% 6.6% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico Madrid WJuventus W
Played42
Form58%50%
Attack56%19%
Defense81%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 2.33 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.83 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Madrid W Juventus W
HATHAT
Played224112
Wins50%50%50%100%0%50%
Draws0%50%25%0%0%0%
Loses50%0%25%0%100%50%

Form: Atletico Madrid W: DWWL • Juventus W: WL

League goals

Metric Atletico Madrid W Juventus W
HATHAT
GF total279213
GF avg1.03.52.32.01.01.5
GA total213123
GA avg1.00.50.81.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico Madrid WJuventus W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%100%100%
1.550%0%50%50%
2.525%0%0%0%
3.525%0%0%0%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico Madrid WJuventus W
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricAtletico Madrid WJuventus W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricAtletico Madrid WJuventus W
Wins21
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-62-1—
Biggest losses0-1——2-1
Goals For2621
Goals Against1112

Model comparison

MetricAtletico Madrid WJuventus W
Form70%30%
Att75%25%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total65.0%35.0%

Advice: Double chance : Atletico Madrid W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.33 @ Bet365
Away5.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.25 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Madrid W = 1.09 (league 1.84), Juventus W = 0.62 (league 1.61)

Juventus W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid W 0 18.2% 11.3% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.7% 12.2% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.7% 6.6% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.5% · Draw 32.6% · Away win 20.8%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1