Thu, Nov 20 2025 • 17:45 • De Grolsch Veste
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.82) 1.11 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.4% 30.4% 40.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.8%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Twente W 0 13.3% 14.8% 8.2% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.0% 13.4% 7.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.5% 6.1% 3.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTwente WAtletico Madrid W
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack50%45%
Defense77%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Twente W Atletico Madrid W
HATHAT
Played437325
Wins75%33%57%33%50%40%
Draws25%33%29%0%50%20%
Loses0%33%14%67%0%40%

Form: Twente W: WWWWDLD • Atletico Madrid W: DWWLL

League goals

Metric Twente W Atletico Madrid W
HATHAT
GF total136193710
GF avg3.32.02.71.03.52.0
GA total235415
GA avg0.51.00.71.30.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTwente WAtletico Madrid W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%57%80%80%
1.557%14%40%20%
2.543%0%20%0%
3.543%0%20%0%
4.514%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTwente WAtletico Madrid W
HATHAT
Clean sheets213011
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricTwente WAtletico Madrid W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricTwente WAtletico Madrid W
Wins42
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-42-10-6
Biggest losses—2-11-2—
Goals For6426
Goals Against1221

Model comparison

MetricTwente WAtletico Madrid W
Form53%47%
Att52%48%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.70 @ Betano
Draw4.40 @ Unibet
Away1.95 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Betano
Under 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Betano
No2.51 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Twente W = 0.91 (league 1.82), Atletico Madrid W = 1.11 (league 1.57)

Atletico Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Twente W 0 13.3% 14.8% 8.2% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.0% 13.4% 7.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.5% 6.1% 3.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.4% · Draw 30.4% · Away win 40.1%

vtt 7 , vtd1