Tue, Dec 9 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano
Not Started
Expected Goals
3.58 (league 1.84) 0.93 (league 1.61)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.8% 9.2% 5.6%
best score tips
3 - 0
8.4%
3 - 1
7.8%
4 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
VfL Wolfsburg W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid W 0 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.9% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.0% 6.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.4% 7.8% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 7.5% 7.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
5 5.4% 5.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal Madrid WVfL Wolfsburg W
Played54
Form67%75%
Attack81%75%
Defense63%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.612 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

80%
FT probability

3.5+

57%
FT probability

BTTS

89%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Madrid W VfL Wolfsburg W
HATHAT
Played336224
Wins67%67%67%100%50%75%
Draws33%0%17%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%17%0%50%25%

Form: Real Madrid W: WWWWDL • VfL Wolfsburg W: WWLW

League goals

Metric Real Madrid W VfL Wolfsburg W
HATHAT
GF total105159312
GF avg3.31.72.54.51.53.0
GA total347246
GA avg1.01.31.21.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal Madrid WVfL Wolfsburg W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%83%100%75%
1.567%33%75%50%
2.533%0%50%25%
3.517%0%50%0%
4.517%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal Madrid WVfL Wolfsburg W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricReal Madrid WVfL Wolfsburg W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricReal Madrid WVfL Wolfsburg W
Wins42
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-21-24-01-2
Biggest losses—2-1—3-1
Goals For6252
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricReal Madrid WVfL Wolfsburg W
Form53%47%
Att52%48%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total58.8%41.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Real Madrid W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ 10Bet
Draw4.10 @ 10Bet
Away2.85 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.30 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Bet365
No3.30 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Madrid W = 3.58 (league 1.84), VfL Wolfsburg W = 0.93 (league 1.61)

VfL Wolfsburg W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid W 0 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.9% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.0% 6.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.4% 7.8% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 7.5% 7.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
5 5.4% 5.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.8% · Draw 9.2% · Away win 5.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1