Wed, Dec 10 2025 • 20:00 • Progress With Unity Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.42 (league 1.82) 0.32 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.4% 12.5% 3.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
19.0%
1 - 0
15.7%
3 - 0
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
Lyon W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United W 0 6.5% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.7% 5.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.0% 6.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.3% 4.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.2% 2.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester United WLyon W
Played54
Form80%83%
Attack90%100%
Defense40%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester United W Lyon W
HATHAT
Played538224
Wins100%33%75%100%50%75%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%25%
Loses0%67%25%0%0%0%

Form: Manchester United W: WWLWWWWL • Lyon W: WWWD

League goals

Metric Manchester United W Lyon W
HATHAT
GF total113146511
GF avg2.21.01.83.02.52.8
GA total167145
GA avg0.22.00.90.52.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester United WLyon W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%38%100%75%
1.550%13%100%25%
2.525%13%75%25%
3.513%13%0%0%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester United WLyon W
HATHAT
Clean sheets415101
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricManchester United WLyon W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricManchester United WLyon W
Wins43
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-13-01-2
Biggest losses—5-2——
Goals For4233
Goals Against1513

Model comparison

MetricManchester United WLyon W
Form55%45%
Att45%55%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total58.5%41.5%

Advice: Double chance : Manchester United W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.00 @ 10Bet
Draw5.00 @ Bet365
Away1.42 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.60 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.22 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester United W = 2.42 (league 1.82), Lyon W = 0.32 (league 1.57)

Lyon W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United W 0 6.5% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.7% 5.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.0% 6.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.3% 4.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.2% 2.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.4% · Draw 12.5% · Away win 3.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1