Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 20:00 • Estádio da Luz
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.82) 0.48 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.1% 39.0% 19.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.2%
1 - 0
22.4%
0 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Paris Saint Germain W
0 1 2 3 4 5
SL Benfica W 0 27.2% 13.0% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.4% 10.7% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.2% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSL Benfica WParis Saint Germain W
Played55
Form7%7%
Attack17%17%
Defense44%39%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SL Benfica W Paris Saint Germain W
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws50%0%20%33%0%20%
Loses50%100%80%67%100%80%

Form: SL Benfica W: LLDLL • Paris Saint Germain W: LLLLD

League goals

Metric SL Benfica W Paris Saint Germain W
HATHAT
GF total123213
GF avg0.50.70.60.70.50.6
GA total37105611
GA avg1.52.32.01.73.02.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSL Benfica WParis Saint Germain W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%100%60%80%
1.50%80%0%80%
2.50%20%0%40%
3.50%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSL Benfica WParis Saint Germain W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricSL Benfica WParis Saint Germain W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSL Benfica WParis Saint Germain W
Wins00
Draws10
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses0-23-11-34-0
Goals For1111
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricSL Benfica WParis Saint Germain W
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : SL Benfica or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ 10Bet
Draw3.57 @ Pinnacle
Away2.10 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Pinnacle
No2.36 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SL Benfica W = 0.82 (league 1.82), Paris Saint Germain W = 0.48 (league 1.57)

Paris Saint Germain W
0 1 2 3 4 5
SL Benfica W 0 27.2% 13.0% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.4% 10.7% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.2% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.1% · Draw 39.0% · Away win 19.8%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1