Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 20:00 • Stade Jean Bouin
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.36 (league 1.82) 1.11 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.8% 33.1% 55.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
25.6%
0 - 0
23.0%
0 - 2
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Barcelona W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris FC W 0 23.0% 25.6% 14.2% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3%
1 8.2% 9.1% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParis FC WBarcelona W
Played55
Form53%87%
Attack33%100%
Defense61%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.218 | 3.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paris FC W Barcelona W
HATHAT
Played347325
Wins33%50%43%100%50%80%
Draws67%25%43%0%50%20%
Loses0%25%14%0%0%0%

Form: Paris FC W: DWDLDWW • Barcelona W: WWWDW

League goals

Metric Paris FC W Barcelona W
HATHAT
GF total44813518
GF avg1.31.01.14.32.53.6
GA total257213
GA avg0.71.31.00.70.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParis FC WBarcelona W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%43%100%60%
1.543%29%80%0%
2.50%14%80%0%
3.50%14%40%0%
4.50%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParis FC WBarcelona W
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricParis FC WBarcelona W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricParis FC WBarcelona W
Wins13
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-27-10-4
Biggest losses—4-0——
Goals For2274
Goals Against2411

Model comparison

MetricParis FC WBarcelona W
Form38%62%
Att25%75%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total29.8%70.3%

Advice: Winner : Barcelona W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home29.00 @ Betano
Draw11.29 @ Pinnacle
Away1.09 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.22 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.80 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Paris FC W = 0.36 (league 1.82), Barcelona W = 1.11 (league 1.57)

Barcelona W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris FC W 0 23.0% 25.6% 14.2% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3%
1 8.2% 9.1% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.8% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 55.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1