Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.90) 0.86 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.1% 37.6% 41.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.0%
0 - 1
21.5%
1 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Toledo
0 1 2 3 4 5
SS Reyes 0 25.0% 21.5% 9.3% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.1% 11.3% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSS ReyesToledo
Played22
Form67%100%
Attack17%25%
Defense92%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 13 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.51 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SS Reyes Toledo
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%100%50%100%100%100%
Draws100%0%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: SS Reyes: DW • Toledo: WW

League goals

Metric SS Reyes Toledo
HATHAT
GF total022123
GF avg0.02.01.01.02.01.5
GA total011011
GA avg0.01.00.50.01.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSS ReyesToledo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%100%50%
1.550%0%50%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSS ReyesToledo
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricSS ReyesToledo
Scored (total | %)4 | 80.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 20.00%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricSS ReyesToledo
Wins02
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-21-01-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For0212
Goals Against0101

Model comparison

MetricSS ReyesToledo
Form40%60%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total43.3%56.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : SS Reyes or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ William Hill
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SS Reyes = 0.53 (league 1.90), Toledo = 0.86 (league 1.16)

Toledo
0 1 2 3 4 5
SS Reyes 0 25.0% 21.5% 9.3% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.1% 11.3% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.1% · Draw 37.6% · Away win 41.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1