Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 21:15 • Estadio Félix Capriles
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.96) 2.41 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.8% 18.4% 60.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.4%
1 - 1
7.8%
0 - 2
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
The Strongest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jorge Wilstermann 0 2.6% 6.4% 7.7% 6.2% 3.7% 1.8%
1 3.2% 7.8% 9.4% 7.5% 4.5% 2.2%
2 2.0% 4.8% 5.7% 4.6% 2.8% 1.3%
3 0.8% 1.9% 2.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJorge WilstermannThe Strongest
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack13%40%
Defense47%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jorge Wilstermann The Strongest
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins20%33%27%60%0%27%
Draws20%17%18%20%50%36%
Loses60%50%55%20%50%36%

Form: Jorge Wilstermann: WWLLLWLLDDL • The Strongest: WDLLWDLDWDL

League goals

Metric Jorge Wilstermann The Strongest
HATHAT
GF total67139918
GF avg1.21.21.21.81.51.6
GA total10112131215
GA avg2.01.81.90.62.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJorge WilstermannThe Strongest
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%91%82%82%
1.527%73%45%36%
2.518%27%18%18%
3.59%0%9%0%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJorge WilstermannThe Strongest
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricJorge WilstermannThe Strongest
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricJorge WilstermannThe Strongest
Wins21
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-23-45-0—
Biggest losses1-32-00-13-2
Goals For3453
Goals Against3313

Model comparison

MetricJorge WilstermannThe Strongest
Form29%71%
Att25%75%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total37.5%62.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or The Strongest

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.35 @ Unibet
Draw4.16 @ Pinnacle
Away1.97 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.60 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.45 @ Unibet
No2.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jorge Wilstermann = 1.22 (league 1.96), The Strongest = 2.41 (league 1.24)

The Strongest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jorge Wilstermann 0 2.6% 6.4% 7.7% 6.2% 3.7% 1.8%
1 3.2% 7.8% 9.4% 7.5% 4.5% 2.2%
2 2.0% 4.8% 5.7% 4.6% 2.8% 1.3%
3 0.8% 1.9% 2.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.8% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 60.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1