Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 15:45 •
Stadion Galgenwaard
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.88)
0.88 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.2% | 22.8% | 17.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.3%
2 - 0
11.1%
1 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Hera United W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Utrecht W | 0 | 6.8% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 11.1% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Utrecht W | Hera United W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 71% | 14% |
| Defense | 0% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Utrecht W | Hera United W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 0% | 67% | 44% | 0% | 20% | 10% |
| Draws | 33% | 17% | 22% | 60% | 20% | 40% |
| Loses | 67% | 17% | 33% | 40% | 60% | 50% |
Form: Utrecht W: WLWLDWDLW • Hera United W: DLLDLLWLDD
League goals
| Metric | Utrecht W | Hera United W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 12 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 7 | 14 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Utrecht W | Hera United W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 100% | 50% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 56% | 20% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 22% | 0% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Utrecht W | Hera United W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Utrecht W | Hera United W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Utrecht W | Hera United W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 2-4 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 8-0 | 0-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Utrecht W | Hera United W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 83% | 17% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 62.0% | 38.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Utrecht W or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Utrecht W = 1.81 (league 1.88), Hera United W = 0.88 (league 1.57)
| Hera United W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Utrecht W | 0 | 6.8% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 11.1% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.2% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 17.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1