Wed, Oct 8 2025 • 19:00 • NV ARENA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.86) 0.63 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.6% 24.5% 14.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.1%
2 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
St. Pölten W 0 10.6% 6.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.1% 10.8% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.8% 8.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.4% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSt. Pölten WAtletico Madrid W
Played22
Form100%67%
Attack20%12%
Defense92%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 2.53 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 12 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

92%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric St. Pölten W Atletico Madrid W
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%100%100%100%0%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%50%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: St. Pölten W: WW • Atletico Madrid W: DW

League goals

Metric St. Pölten W Atletico Madrid W
HATHAT
GF total325213
GF avg3.02.02.52.01.01.5
GA total112112
GA avg1.01.01.01.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSt. Pölten WAtletico Madrid W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%0%50%0%
2.550%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSt. Pölten WAtletico Madrid W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricSt. Pölten WAtletico Madrid W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSt. Pölten WAtletico Madrid W
Wins20
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-1
Biggest losses
Goals For3221
Goals Against1111

Model comparison

MetricSt. Pölten WAtletico Madrid W
Form60%40%
Att63%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total61.3%39.0%

Advice: Double chance : St. Pölten W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home16.73 @ Pinnacle
Draw7.34 @ Pinnacle
Away1.23 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Betano
Under 2.52.65 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.81 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): St. Pölten W = 1.61 (league 1.86), Atletico Madrid W = 0.63 (league 1.59)

Atletico Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
St. Pölten W 0 10.6% 6.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.1% 10.8% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.8% 8.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.4% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.6% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 14.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1