Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 13:30 •
Gradski stadion
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.94)
0.71 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.0% | 30.6% | 22.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.8%
0 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Jagodina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Morava Ćuprija | 0 | 15.0% | 10.7% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.8% | 12.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.5% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Morava Ćuprija | Jagodina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 53% |
| Attack | 55% | 45% |
| Defense | 18% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Morava Ćuprija | Jagodina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 17% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 67% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 33% | 0% | 50% | 17% |
Form: Morava Ćuprija: WDDLDL • Jagodina: DLDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Morava Ćuprija | Jagodina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Morava Ćuprija | Jagodina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 100% | 83% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Morava Ćuprija | Jagodina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Morava Ćuprija | Jagodina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Morava Ćuprija | Jagodina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Morava Ćuprija | Jagodina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 38.8% | 61.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Jagodina
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Morava Ćuprija = 1.18 (league 1.94), Jagodina = 0.71 (league 1.19)
| Jagodina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Morava Ćuprija | 0 | 15.0% | 10.7% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.8% | 12.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.5% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.0% · Draw 30.6% · Away win 22.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1