Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 12:00 • Gradski Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.14 (league 1.94) 0.44 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.2% 8.2% 2.7%
best score tips
3 - 0
14.4%
2 - 0
13.8%
4 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Dunav Prahovo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jagodina 0 2.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.8% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.8% 6.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.4% 6.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.3% 4.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.1% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJagodinaDunav Prahovo
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack93%50%
Defense79%7%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.613 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jagodina Dunav Prahovo
HATHAT
Played76135712
Wins71%33%54%80%14%42%
Draws29%33%31%20%14%17%
Loses0%33%15%0%71%42%

Form: Jagodina: DLDWDWDWWWLWW • Dunav Prahovo: LWDWLWLDWLWL

League goals

Metric Jagodina Dunav Prahovo
HATHAT
GF total1582310919
GF avg2.11.31.82.01.31.6
GA total36942024
GA avg0.41.00.70.82.92.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJagodinaDunav Prahovo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%38%92%83%
1.546%23%50%50%
2.515%8%17%33%
3.515%0%0%17%
4.58%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJagodinaDunav Prahovo
HATHAT
Clean sheets538202
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricJagodinaDunav Prahovo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricJagodinaDunav Prahovo
Wins31
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-43-01-2
Biggest losses—3-1—6-0
Goals For5432
Goals Against2326

Model comparison

MetricJagodinaDunav Prahovo
Form63%37%
Att65%35%
Def81%19%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h71%29%
Goals50%50%
Total69.7%30.3%

Advice: Winner : Jagodina

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jagodina = 3.14 (league 1.94), Dunav Prahovo = 0.44 (league 1.19)

Dunav Prahovo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jagodina 0 2.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.8% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.8% 6.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.4% 6.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.3% 4.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.1% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.2% · Draw 8.2% · Away win 2.7%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1