Premier League
— Uganda
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 13:00 •
Luzira Maximum Prisons Stadium
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.42)
0.77 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.4% | 37.1% | 33.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
22.9%
0 - 1
17.7%
1 - 0
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
| NEC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Maroons | 0 | 22.9% | 17.7% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 16.1% | 12.4% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Maroons | NEC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 24% | 19% |
| Defense | 81% | 81% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
48%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Maroons | NEC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 25% | 29% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Draws | 67% | 0% | 29% | 67% | 25% | 43% |
| Loses | 0% | 75% | 43% | 0% | 50% | 29% |
Form: Maroons: LWDLDLW • NEC: DDLWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Maroons | NEC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Maroons | NEC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 57% | 86% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 29% | 14% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Maroons | NEC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Maroons | NEC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Maroons | NEC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Maroons | NEC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 43.8% | 56.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or NEC and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Maroons = 0.70 (league 1.42), NEC = 0.77 (league 0.93)
| NEC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Maroons | 0 | 22.9% | 17.7% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 16.1% | 12.4% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.4% · Draw 37.1% · Away win 33.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1