Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 13:00 • The Royals Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.35) 1.11 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.3% 31.6% 44.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.5%
0 - 0
15.8%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Mbarara City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kitara 0 15.8% 17.5% 9.7% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.7% 12.9% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 4.3% 4.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKitaraMbarara City
Played23
Form17%22%
Attack13%25%
Defense75%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.52 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 13 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kitara Mbarara City
HATHAT
Played112213
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws100%0%50%50%100%67%
Loses0%100%50%50%0%33%

Form: Kitara: DL • Mbarara City: DLD

League goals

Metric Kitara Mbarara City
HATHAT
GF total101112
GF avg1.00.00.50.51.00.7
GA total112213
GA avg1.01.01.01.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKitaraMbarara City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%67%100%
1.50%0%0%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKitaraMbarara City
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricKitaraMbarara City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricKitaraMbarara City
Wins00
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins
Biggest losses1-00-1
Goals For1011
Goals Against1111

Model comparison

MetricKitaraMbarara City
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total44.3%55.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mbarara City and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Betano
Draw3.70 @ William Hill
Away6.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ Betfair
No1.59 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.55 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kitara = 0.74 (league 1.35), Mbarara City = 1.11 (league 0.90)

Mbarara City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kitara 0 15.8% 17.5% 9.7% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.7% 12.9% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 4.3% 4.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.3% · Draw 31.6% · Away win 44.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1