Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 16:15 • Laugardalsvöllur
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.85) 1.70 (league 1.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.3% 22.1% 35.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.1%
2 - 1
8.3%
1 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
HK Kopavogur
0 1 2 3 4 5
Keflavik 0 2.9% 5.0% 4.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4%
1 5.4% 9.1% 7.8% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 8.3% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.0% 5.1% 4.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.4%
4 1.4% 2.3% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKeflavikHK Kopavogur
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack55%73%
Defense64%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.416 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Keflavik HK Kopavogur
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins50%50%50%58%58%58%
Draws25%8%17%17%17%17%
Loses25%42%33%25%25%25%

Form: Keflavik: WLWWLDDDLWWLWDWLWLWLWWLW • HK Kopavogur: DDWLWWLWWDWWLWLWLDWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Keflavik HK Kopavogur
HATHAT
GF total312657292453
GF avg2.62.22.42.42.02.2
GA total182341181634
GA avg1.51.91.71.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKeflavikHK Kopavogur
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%79%88%75%
1.563%50%58%46%
2.542%29%46%21%
3.529%13%21%0%
4.513%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKeflavikHK Kopavogur
HATHAT
Clean sheets325336
Failed to score325123

Penalties

MetricKeflavikHK Kopavogur
Scored (total | %)1 | 50.00%4 | 80.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 50.00%1 | 20.00%
Total25

Streaks

MetricKeflavikHK Kopavogur
Wins22
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-45-21-5
Biggest losses0-34-01-33-0
Goals For7455
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricKeflavikHK Kopavogur
Form43%57%
Att43%57%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h20%80%
Goals20%80%
Total38.7%61.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or HK Kopavogur and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ 188Bet
Away2.97 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.43 @ 188Bet
No3.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Keflavik = 1.83 (league 1.85), HK Kopavogur = 1.70 (league 1.76)

HK Kopavogur
0 1 2 3 4 5
Keflavik 0 2.9% 5.0% 4.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4%
1 5.4% 9.1% 7.8% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 8.3% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.0% 5.1% 4.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.4%
4 1.4% 2.3% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.3% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 35.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1