Tue, Nov 11 2025 • 18:45 •
Swansway Stadium
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.59)
0.99 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.2% | 23.1% | 20.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
11.0%
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Bury | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nantwich Town | 0 | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nantwich Town | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 33% |
| Attack | 35% | 41% |
| Defense | 41% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nantwich Town | Bury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 67% | 38% | 50% | 88% | 14% | 53% |
| Draws | 17% | 13% | 14% | 0% | 57% | 27% |
| Loses | 17% | 50% | 36% | 13% | 29% | 20% |
Form: Nantwich Town: WWLDLWLWWWLWLD • Bury: WDDLWWWWWWLLDWD
League goals
| Metric | Nantwich Town | Bury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 7 | 26 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 8 | 10 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nantwich Town | Bury | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 71% | 80% | 53% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 36% | 40% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 14% | 33% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nantwich Town | Bury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nantwich Town | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nantwich Town | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nantwich Town | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 52.3% | 47.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Nantwich Town or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nantwich Town = 1.80 (league 1.59), Bury = 0.99 (league 1.31)
| Bury | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nantwich Town | 0 | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.2% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 20.6%
Vtot 3 , Vtod1