Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 •
The Paycare Ground
Expected Goals
0.27 (league 1.48)
0.87 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.1% | 39.8% | 49.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
31.8%
0 - 1
27.8%
0 - 2
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Bury | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Darlaston Town | 0 | 31.8% | 27.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Darlaston Town | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 53% |
| Attack | 50% | 63% |
| Defense | 0% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Darlaston Town | Bury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 25% | 75% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Loses | 100% | 25% | 63% | 25% | 0% | 17% |
Form: Darlaston Town: WLWLDLLL • Bury: WDDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Darlaston Town | Bury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 9 | 8 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Darlaston Town | Bury | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 88% | 67% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 17% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Darlaston Town | Bury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Darlaston Town | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Darlaston Town | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 6-0 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Darlaston Town | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 11% | 89% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 17% | 83% |
| Poisson Distribution | 23% | 77% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 23.8% | 76.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Bury
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Darlaston Town = 0.27 (league 1.48), Bury = 0.87 (league 1.31)
| Bury | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Darlaston Town | 0 | 31.8% | 27.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.1% · Draw 39.8% · Away win 49.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1