Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 15:00 • Gigg Lane
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.59) 1.41 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.9% 25.5% 38.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 1
8.9%
1 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Lower Breck
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bury 0 6.3% 8.9% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.6% 12.0% 8.5% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.2% 5.7% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.6% 3.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBuryLower Breck
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack58%63%
Defense63%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bury Lower Breck
HATHAT
Played88169817
Wins88%25%56%56%75%65%
Draws0%50%25%33%13%24%
Loses13%25%19%11%13%12%

Form: Bury: WDDLWWWWWWLLDWDW • Lower Breck: WWWDWWWLDDWWDWWWL

League goals

Metric Bury Lower Breck
HATHAT
GF total191130181836
GF avg2.41.41.92.02.32.1
GA total6101612719
GA avg0.81.31.01.30.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBuryLower Breck
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%56%82%65%
1.544%38%71%35%
2.538%6%41%12%
3.519%0%12%0%
4.56%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBuryLower Breck
HATHAT
Clean sheets527336
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricBuryLower Breck
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBuryLower Breck
Wins63
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-43-02-5
Biggest losses0-22-00-31-0
Goals For5435
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricBuryLower Breck
Form44%56%
Att48%52%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total48.5%51.5%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bury = 1.36 (league 1.59), Lower Breck = 1.41 (league 1.31)

Lower Breck
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bury 0 6.3% 8.9% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.6% 12.0% 8.5% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.2% 5.7% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.6% 3.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.9% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 38.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1