Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:00 •
Red Industries Lyme Valley Stadium
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.61)
1.49 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.5% | 26.4% | 55.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.8%
0 - 2
12.5%
1 - 1
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Lower Breck | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Newcastle Town | 0 | 11.3% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Lower Breck |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 80% |
| Attack | 28% | 61% |
| Defense | 78% | 72% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Lower Breck | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 56% | 0% | 29% | 56% | 78% | 67% |
| Draws | 11% | 25% | 18% | 33% | 11% | 22% |
| Loses | 33% | 75% | 53% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
Form: Newcastle Town: LWLLLDLWLWLDWDWLL • Lower Breck: WWWDWWWLDDWWDWWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Lower Breck | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 1 | 14 | 18 | 20 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 8 | 12 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Newcastle Town | Lower Breck | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 41% | 59% | 83% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 35% | 72% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 24% | 39% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Lower Breck | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Lower Breck |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Lower Breck |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 3-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Lower Breck |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 37% | 63% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 38.8% | 61.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Lower Breck
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Newcastle Town = 0.70 (league 1.61), Lower Breck = 1.49 (league 1.33)
| Lower Breck | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Newcastle Town | 0 | 11.3% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.5% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 55.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1