Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 •
Gigg Lane
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.59)
0.89 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.0% | 23.8% | 19.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.6%
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Atherton Collieries | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bury | 0 | 7.4% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 11.3% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bury | Atherton Collieries |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 54% | 31% |
| Defense | 46% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bury | Atherton Collieries | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
| Wins | 78% | 22% | 50% | 55% | 38% | 47% |
| Draws | 0% | 44% | 22% | 9% | 13% | 11% |
| Loses | 22% | 33% | 28% | 36% | 50% | 42% |
Form: Bury: WDDLWWWWWWLLDWDWLL • Atherton Collieries: LLLLWWWWDWWLWWLDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Bury | Atherton Collieries | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 11 | 30 | 17 | 10 | 27 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 8 | 13 | 21 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bury | Atherton Collieries | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 61% | 79% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 44% | 42% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 11% | 16% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bury | Atherton Collieries | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bury | Atherton Collieries |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bury | Atherton Collieries |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 2-5 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bury | Atherton Collieries |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 60.5% | 39.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Bury or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bury = 1.72 (league 1.59), Atherton Collieries = 0.89 (league 1.31)
| Atherton Collieries | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bury | 0 | 7.4% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 11.3% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.0% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 19.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1