Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 15:00 •
Red Industries Lyme Valley Stadium
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.59)
1.68 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.6% | 24.2% | 52.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
0 - 1
11.4%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Avro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Newcastle Town | 0 | 6.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Avro |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 100% |
| Attack | 39% | 56% |
| Defense | 44% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Avro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 26% | 60% | 67% | 63% |
| Draws | 20% | 22% | 21% | 20% | 22% | 21% |
| Loses | 30% | 78% | 53% | 20% | 11% | 16% |
Form: Newcastle Town: LWLLLDLWLWLDWDWLLDL • Avro: WDLLWWDDWWWDWLWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Avro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 18 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 11 | 15 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Newcastle Town | Avro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 47% | 63% | 95% | 53% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 42% | 58% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 32% | 11% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Avro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Avro |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Avro |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Avro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 21% | 79% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 23% | 77% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 39.0% | 61.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Avro
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Newcastle Town = 1.01 (league 1.59), Avro = 1.68 (league 1.31)
| Avro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Newcastle Town | 0 | 6.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.6% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 52.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1