Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 •
Anfield Sports Community Centre
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.61)
1.46 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.1% | 23.5% | 33.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Mossley | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lower Breck | 0 | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lower Breck | Mossley |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 45% | 36% |
| Defense | 68% | 41% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lower Breck | Mossley | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 45% | 73% | 59% | 20% | 27% | 24% |
| Draws | 45% | 18% | 32% | 50% | 36% | 43% |
| Loses | 9% | 9% | 9% | 30% | 36% | 33% |
Form: Lower Breck: WWWDWWWLDDWWDWWWLWDDDW • Mossley: LDDDLWDWLDDDWLDWDLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Lower Breck | Mossley | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 26 | 46 | 11 | 17 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 14 | 12 | 26 | 12 | 17 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lower Breck | Mossley | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 68% | 71% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 68% | 36% | 38% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 41% | 14% | 14% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 10% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lower Breck | Mossley | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lower Breck | Mossley |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lower Breck | Mossley |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-5 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 1-0 | 1-5 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lower Breck | Mossley |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 65% | 35% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Lower Breck or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lower Breck = 1.68 (league 1.61), Mossley = 1.46 (league 1.33)
| Mossley | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lower Breck | 0 | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.1% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 33.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1