Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 15:00 •
Red Industries Lyme Valley Stadium
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.61)
1.13 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.3% | 26.4% | 29.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
11.2%
2 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Chasetown | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Newcastle Town | 0 | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 12.5% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Chasetown |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 60% |
| Attack | 20% | 53% |
| Defense | 87% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Chasetown | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
| Wins | 36% | 14% | 25% | 53% | 42% | 48% |
| Draws | 29% | 21% | 25% | 20% | 17% | 19% |
| Loses | 36% | 64% | 50% | 27% | 42% | 33% |
Form: Newcastle Town: LWLLLDLWLWLDWDWLLDLDLLLLWDDW • Chasetown: DWLDWWWWWLLDLLWLWDWWDLWWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Chasetown | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 18 | 43 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 14 | 23 | 37 | 13 | 23 | 36 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Newcastle Town | Chasetown | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 46% | 61% | 78% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 36% | 52% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 29% | 19% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Chasetown | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 9 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Chasetown |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Chasetown |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-1 | 6-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 2-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Newcastle Town | Chasetown |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 41.3% | 58.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Chasetown
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Newcastle Town = 1.42 (league 1.61), Chasetown = 1.13 (league 1.33)
| Chasetown | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Newcastle Town | 0 | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 12.5% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.3% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 29.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1