Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:00 •
Anfield Sports Community Centre
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.61)
1.24 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.9% | 26.8% | 35.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
10.3%
0 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Bury | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lower Breck | 0 | 7.9% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lower Breck | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 87% |
| Attack | 46% | 63% |
| Defense | 71% | 92% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lower Breck | Bury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 15 | 31 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 50% | 67% | 58% | 69% | 44% | 56% |
| Draws | 38% | 13% | 26% | 19% | 38% | 28% |
| Loses | 13% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 19% | 16% |
Form: Lower Breck: WWWDWWWLDDWWDWWWLWDDDWWWDWLLWLW • Bury: WDDLWWWWWWLLDWDWLWLDDWWWWDDDWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Lower Breck | Bury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 31 | 35 | 66 | 37 | 24 | 61 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 18 | 20 | 38 | 12 | 18 | 30 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lower Breck | Bury | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 71% | 78% | 53% |
| 1.5 | 65% | 35% | 47% | 34% |
| 2.5 | 42% | 13% | 25% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 3% | 16% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lower Breck | Bury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lower Breck | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lower Breck | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 2-5 | 9-0 | 2-6 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-3 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lower Breck | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 32% | 68% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 36.5% | 63.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Lower Breck or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lower Breck = 1.30 (league 1.61), Bury = 1.24 (league 1.33)
| Bury | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lower Breck | 0 | 7.9% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.9% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 35.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1