Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 15:00 •
Autonet Insurance Stadium
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.59)
1.54 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.2% | 25.4% | 46.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
10.9%
1 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Bury | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kidsgrove Athletic | 0 | 7.0% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kidsgrove Athletic | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 80% |
| Attack | 35% | 88% |
| Defense | 35% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kidsgrove Athletic | Bury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| Wins | 50% | 13% | 31% | 65% | 47% | 56% |
| Draws | 19% | 31% | 25% | 18% | 35% | 26% |
| Loses | 31% | 56% | 44% | 18% | 18% | 18% |
Form: Kidsgrove Athletic: WLWDWLDLWDLDWDLWDLLWLWDLLLWDWLLL • Bury: WDDLWWWWWWLLDWDWLWLDDWWWWDDDWWWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Kidsgrove Athletic | Bury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 23 | 48 | 37 | 27 | 64 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 21 | 34 | 55 | 14 | 18 | 32 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kidsgrove Athletic | Bury | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 84% | 76% | 53% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 50% | 47% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 31% | 26% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 6% | 15% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kidsgrove Athletic | Bury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kidsgrove Athletic | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kidsgrove Athletic | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-4 | 9-0 | 2-6 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kidsgrove Athletic | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 15% | 85% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 26.8% | 73.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Bury
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Kidsgrove Athletic = 1.11 (league 1.59), Bury = 1.54 (league 1.35)
| Bury | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kidsgrove Athletic | 0 | 7.0% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.2% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 46.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1