Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 14:00 •
Autonet Insurance Stadium
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.61)
2.35 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.7% | 19.3% | 55.4% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
1 - 1
7.7%
1 - 3
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Lower Breck | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kidsgrove Athletic | 0 | 2.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kidsgrove Athletic | Lower Breck |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 47% |
| Attack | 39% | 56% |
| Defense | 28% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kidsgrove Athletic | Lower Breck | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 18 | 35 | 19 | 17 | 36 |
| Wins | 47% | 11% | 29% | 47% | 65% | 56% |
| Draws | 18% | 39% | 29% | 37% | 12% | 25% |
| Loses | 35% | 50% | 43% | 16% | 24% | 19% |
Form: Kidsgrove Athletic: WLWDWLDLWDLDWDLWDLLWLWDLLLWDWLLLLDD • Lower Breck: WWWDWWWLDDWWDWWWLWDDDWWWDWLLWLWLWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Kidsgrove Athletic | Lower Breck | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 26 | 51 | 37 | 39 | 76 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 23 | 37 | 60 | 23 | 25 | 48 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kidsgrove Athletic | Lower Breck | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 86% | 83% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 51% | 64% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 29% | 42% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 6% | 14% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kidsgrove Athletic | Lower Breck | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kidsgrove Athletic | Lower Breck |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kidsgrove Athletic | Lower Breck |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-4 | 6-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kidsgrove Athletic | Lower Breck |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 22% | 78% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 40.3% | 59.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lower Breck and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Kidsgrove Athletic = 1.40 (league 1.61), Lower Breck = 2.35 (league 1.37)
| Lower Breck | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kidsgrove Athletic | 0 | 2.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.7% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 55.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1